Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Frigg Oslo		Grei

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.33	1.90
	2.5	4.5	2.03
	2.34	4.76	2.05
	2.42	5	2.07	Watch
	2.25	4.65	2
	2.64	4.55	1.96
	2.4	4.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (1.36)	4.6 ↓ (4.9)	2.02 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frigg Oslo
36.2%

Draw
19.5%

Grei
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

17.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

16.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frigg Oslo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frigg Oslo's form might have worsened.

Grei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grei's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frigg Oslo than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frigg Oslo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grei than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grei, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Frigg Oslo - Grei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Qzaibri A. S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Bile M. ⚽,
51', 0 - 3, Salman E. ⚽,
80', 0 - 4, Gaye M. M. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 11th).

Frigg is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Grei is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Frigg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Frigg has faced a series of away games on the road.

Frigg is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Frigg has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 2.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frigg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Frigg	25	9	6	10	53:62	-9	33
11	Grei	25	9	1	15	48:73	-25	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frigg Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
19.10.26	KFUM 2 - Frigg Oslo	6:0 ✺
14.10.26	Asker Fotball - Frigg Oslo	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Vålerenga 2 - Frigg Oslo	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Frigg Oslo - Gamle Oslo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Frigg Oslo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.10.26	Grei - Gamle Oslo	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Ullern - Grei	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Grei - Asker Fotball	4:3 ✺
26.09.26	Ready - Grei	2:3 ✺
19.09.26	Grei - Heming	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 61.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
10.08.19	Grei - Frigg Oslo	0:1
25.05.19	Frigg Oslo - Grei	1:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
22.09.18	Frigg Oslo - Grei	2:2
04.06.18	Grei - Frigg Oslo	0:5

Frigg Oslo - Grei