Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grei		Heming

	1	X	2
	5.50	5.50	1.33
	5.60	4.80	1.33
	5.89	5.85	1.31
	6.03	5.49	1.35	Watch
	5.80	5.75	1.27
	6.21	5.94	1.33
	5.33	4.75	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.77 ↑ (5.5)	5.44 ↑ (4.8)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grei
15.6%

Draw
16.5%

Heming
67.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16%

18.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

17.7%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Heming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grei than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heming than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Grei - Heming Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
24', 0 - 1, Ferrer U. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 0 - 2, Christiansson O. ⚽,
40', 0 - 3, Hagen A. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 1 - 3, Salman E. ⚽,
81', 1 - 4, Hundvin-Hakonsen T. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 3rd).

Recent results have been tough for Grei (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Heming have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Grei may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Heming holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Grei has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Heming	25	15	5	5	66:40	26	50
11	Grei	25	9	1	15	48:73	-25	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.09.26	Konnerud - Grei	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Grei - Union Carl Berner	0:1 ✺
01.09.26	Nordstrand - Grei	3:5 ✺
15.08.26	Grei - Bærum	1:7 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grei	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLL
- IL Heming
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.09.26	Heming - Frigg Oslo	5:1 ✺
04.09.26	Gamle Oslo - Heming	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Heming - Vålerenga 2	5:2 ✺
15.08.26	Heming - Asker Fotball	2:5 ✺
08.08.26	Ready - Heming	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
02.05.26	Heming - Grei	2:3

Grei - Heming