Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Norra - Round 24

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Skyttis IP (Örnsköldsvik)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Friska Viljor		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	4.75	1.4
	5.21	5.22	1.46
	5.55	4.93	1.47	Watch
	6.04	4.5	1.44	Watch
	6	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (3.7)	4.83 ↑ (3.6)	1.43 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Friska Viljor
16.1%

Draw
19.2%

Hammarby TFF
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

25%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

24.9%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Friska Viljor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Friska Viljor's form might have worsened.

Hammarby TFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby TFF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Friska Viljor than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Friska Viljor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hammarby TFF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Friska Viljor - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Backman H. (G) 20. Afzali M. 11. Cederblad E. 4. Kallin L. 23. Kovalainen J. 6. Nilsson H. 2. Nordin C. 12. Powell J. 80. Sampson C. 25. Svensson A. (C) 19. Zerai A.	40. Andersson S. (G) 11. Akimey A. 6. Bajrovic M. (C) 41. Dwomoh R. 17. Elezaj G. 10. Gebrezgi N. 3. Hedin G. 44. John N. 71. Kallman L. 28. Lahdo A. 21. Soderstrom H.
Substitutes
45. Biregey E. 3. Fahlgren Vestin A. 9. Jonasson M. 16. Jovetic F. 7. Norrman J. 14. Siljander F. 30. Ulander I. (G)	19. Bachir S. 24. Mohammed T. 8. Ronnelow L. (G) 66. Stregart K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Afzali M. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Lahdo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Gebrezgi N. ⚽,
60', Powell J. ↓, Norrman J. ↑,
60', Afzali M. ↓, Siljander F. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Kallman L. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Friska Viljor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hammarby TFF is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hammarby TFF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hammarby TFF is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Friska Viljor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Friska Viljor FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
22.09.24	Assyriska Föreningen - Friska Viljor	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	United Nordic - Friska Viljor	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Friska Viljor - Stocksund	3:3 ✺
31.08.24	Täby - Friska Viljor	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Friska Viljor - Karlberg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLTLL
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
21.09.24	Umeå - Hammarby TFF	1:2 ✺
14.09.24	Hammarby TFF - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
09.09.24	Vasalund - Hammarby TFF	3:0 ✺
02.09.24	Hammarby TFF - Stockholm Internazionale	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Hammarby TFF - Örebro Syrianska	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.04.24	Hammarby TFF - Friska Viljor	3:0

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