The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hammarby TFF 44.1%
Draw 26.8%
Karlstad 29%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.3%
26.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
27.2%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hammarby TFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Hammarby TFF - Karlstad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Opancar E. (G) 19. Andren G. 5. Dwomoh R. 4. Eklund C. (C) 23. Ek N. 16. Elezaj G. 10. Hana G. 14. Krasniqi L. 3. Lindahl J. 6. Moses S. 28. Musa I.
1. Karlsson M. (G) 10. Alvers O. 8. Bark A. 7. Bellman H. 11. Bengtsson J. 14. Hook I. 17. Jatta N. 24. Nfansu D. 19. Nilsson King E. (C) 26. Tagoe B. 6. Zurmati S.
Substitutes
13. Camara A. 17. Corlin O. 15. Gibson W. 11. Johansson A. 20. Lohake A. 35. Nyberg G. (G)
20. Andersson Gards N. 2. Beko S. 9. Carstrom J. 22. Kack Ofordu K. 27. Kocys T. (G) 16. Modou F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Bark A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Alvers O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Krasniqi L. ↓, Gibson W. ↑,
46', Hana G. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
61', Nfansu D. ↓, Kack Ofordu K. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Andren G. ⚽,
65', Musa I. 🟨,
70', Zurmati S. ↓, Beko S. ↑,
70', Tagoe B. ↓, Carstrom J. ↑,
74', Bengtsson J. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Johansson A. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Elezaj G. 🟨,
90+5', Moses S. ↓, Lohake A. ↑,
90+5', Elezaj G. ↓, Corlin O. ↑,
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hammarby TFF won 3.
Hammarby TFF is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Karlstad have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Karlstad could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Hammarby TFF is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Hammarby TFF has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:16 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hammarby TFF against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).