Match Info

National 2 - Group C - Round 30

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël		Grasse

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2
	2.38	3.15	2.68
	2.35	3.15	2.62
	2.43	3.2	2.72	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.39	3.13	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.46)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	2.52 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël
36.2%

Draw
28%

Grasse
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

29.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Grasse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fréjus Saint-Raphaël than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grasse than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Fréjus Saint Raphaël - Grasse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fréjus won 2.

Fréjus is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grasse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fréjus won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fréjus won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Frejus Saint Raphael	6	3	0	3	9:10	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EFC Fréjus Saint-Raphaël
French National 1 - Group C
09.05.26	FC 93 - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Toulon	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Saint-Priest	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	GFA Rumilly Vallières - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Limonest	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLTWL
- RC Grasse
French National 1 - Group C
09.05.26	Grasse - GFA Rumilly Vallières	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Limonest - Grasse	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Grasse - Istres	2:2 ✺
17.04.26	Andrézieux - Grasse	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Grasse - Cannes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group C
16.08.25	Grasse - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:2
French National 1 - Group A
14.09.24	Grasse - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	4:0
03.02.24	Grasse - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:0
09.09.23	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Grasse	0:0
French National 1 - Group C
29.04.23	Grasse - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:2
03.12.22	Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Grasse	1:0
05.03.22	Grasse - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	1:2

Fréjus Saint-Raphaël - Grasse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide