Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Stovky (Frydek-Mistek)


	Frýdek-Místek		Fotbal Třinec

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.95	1.68
	3.64	3.89	1.8
	3.83	4	1.73
	4.35	3.94	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.76)	3.95 ↓ (4.1)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frýdek-Místek
23.3%

Draw
23.2%

Fotbal Třinec
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

22.1%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frýdek-Místek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fotbal Třinec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fotbal Třinec than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Frýdek Místek - Fotbal Třinec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Lasak K. (G) 15. Bialek D. (C) 17. Bielan M. 21. Foltyn M. 20. Gorcica A. 19. Hykel T. 8. Kedron D. 14. Nemec D. 13. Obuch M. 16. Pak V. 3. Sami F.	1. Murin R. (G) 9. Bolf J. 13. Brak V. 19. Charles S. 27. Dadak L. 25. Dedic R. (C) 23. Krakovcik M. 21. Machuca O. 24. Omasta T. 7. Slamena P. 15. Vlachovsky M.
Substitutes
10. Heller J. 11. Kohut T. 2. Luzny M. 7. Neumann M. 9. Sudak R. 6. Tomecek L. 1. Tomek J. (G)	22. Adamuska J. (G) 16. Agbo C. 20. Kowalczyk T. 11. Malek M. 6. Nguyen A. 10. Samiec M. 12. Zinhasovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Brak V. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Kedron D. ⚽,
36', Bialek D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Slamena P. ↓, Samiec M. ↑,
46', Dadak L. ↓, Agbo C. ↑,
46', Machuca O. ↓, Zinhasovic N. ↑,
46', Vlachovsky M. ↓, Malek M. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Charles S. ⚽,
69', Nemec D. ↓, Tomecek L. ↑,
82', Charles S. ↓, Nguyen A. ↑,
90', Pak V. ↓, Heller J. ↑,
90+1', Gorcica A. ↓, Kohut T. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ChNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Frýdek-Místek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Třinec is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Frýdek-Místek won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Frýdek-Místek
Czech MSFL
11.10.25	Blansko - Frýdek-Místek	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Polanka nad Odrou	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Vitkovice	1:0 ✺
Czech Cup
24.09.25	Frýdek-Místek - Pardubice	1:2 ET ✺
Czech MSFL
21.09.25	Uničov - Frýdek-Místek	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL
- Fotbal Třinec
Czech MSFL
11.10.25	Fotbal Třinec - Uničov	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Polanka nad Odrou - Fotbal Třinec	1:2 ✺
Czech Cup
01.10.25	Fotbal Třinec - Hradec Králové	3:4 ET ✺
Czech MSFL
27.09.25	Fotbal Třinec - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	7:2 ✺
20.09.25	Vsetín - Fotbal Třinec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
08.03.25	Frýdek-Místek - Fotbal Třinec	0:2
03.08.24	Fotbal Třinec - Frýdek-Místek	2:1
22.05.24	Fotbal Třinec - Frýdek-Místek	2:0
13.09.23	Frýdek-Místek - Fotbal Třinec	3:0
Club Friendly
19.01.22	Fotbal Třinec - Frýdek-Místek	4:0
22.02.19	Fotbal Třinec - Frýdek-Místek	1:0
Czech Division 2
03.04.18	Fotbal Třinec - Frýdek-Místek	2:2

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