Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 33

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Stovky (Frydek-Mistek)


	Frýdek-Místek		Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž

	1	X	2
	4	3.7	1.66
	4	3.8	1.7
	4.3	3.8	1.69
	4.14	3.86	1.7	Watch
	4.25	3.73	1.73	Watch
	4	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↓ (5.03)	3.78 ↓ (4.4)	1.7 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frýdek-Místek
22.2%

Draw
24.1%

Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

20.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

17.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Frýdek Místek - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Lasak K. (G) 15. Bialek D. 20. Gorcica A. 16. Hajnos V. 8. Kedron D. 4. Massaniec J. 7. Neumann M. 13. Obuch M. 10. Smekal D. 6. Tomecek L. 5. Velner M. (C)	45. Dostal J. (G) 17. Dockal J. 16. Gabris S. 13. Holek M. 19. Holik Lu. 18. Jelecek T. 80. Kriz D. 12. Matousek T. (C) 23. Moucka D. 15. Zajic T. 3. Zavadil P.
Substitutes
17. Dluhos D. 11. Kohut T. 18. Marek O. 3. Micek V. 14. Nemec D. 1. Vavrik R. (G) 9. Volny F.	7. Bartos V. 24. Chwaszcz S. 6. Cupak M. 10. Jambor D. 20. Korycan T. 77. Slamena P. 30. Slezak E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Tomecek L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Zajic T. ↓, Cupak M. ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Dockal J. ⚽,
58', Hajnos V. ↓, Kohut T. ↑,
60', Massaniec J. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Dockal J. ⚽,
64', Holek M. ↓, Jambor D. ↑,
64', Moucka D. ↓, Korycan T. ↑,
71', Tomecek L. ↓, Nemec D. ↑,
73', Holik Lu. ↓, Chwaszcz S. ↑,
78', Chwaszcz S. 🟨,
84', Neumann M. ↓, Marek O. ↑,
84', Smekal D. ↓, Dluhos D. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Korycan T. ⚽,
87', Jelecek T. ↓, Bartos V. ↑,
90+1', Bialek D. 🟨,
90+2', Cupak M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ChNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Frýdek-Místek won 1.

Frýdek-Místek in last matches got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games, wins - 4).

Kroměříž is in first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).

Kroměříž could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.

In this match, Kroměříž is a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:16 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams, Frýdek-Místek won 1 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Frýdek-Místek
Czech MSFL
26.04.25	Frýdek-Místek - Karviná B	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Hlučín - Frýdek-Místek	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Frýdek-Místek - Start Brno	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Slovan Rosice - Frýdek-Místek	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Frýdek-Místek - Znojmo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWW
- SK Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž
Czech MSFL
18.04.25	Uherský Brod - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Blansko	5:0 ✺
06.04.25	Zbrojovka Brno B - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Zlín B	5:0 ✺
23.03.25	Karviná B - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
16.11.24	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Frýdek-Místek	2:0
10.06.23	Frýdek-Místek - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	0:1
12.11.22	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Frýdek-Místek	3:2
23.04.22	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Frýdek-Místek	0:2
18.09.21	Frýdek-Místek - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	2:4
09.09.20	Frýdek-Místek - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	1:2
04.09.19	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Frýdek-Místek	4:2

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