Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Stovky (Frydek-Mistek)


	Frýdek-Místek		Start Brno

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.45	5.5
	1.43	4.38	5.72
	1.55	4.23	4.70	Watch
	1.42	4.25	6.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	4.33 ↑ (4.03)	5.53 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frýdek-Místek
62.5%

Draw
21%

Start Brno
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

20.9%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frýdek-Místek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Start Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frýdek-Místek than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frýdek-Místek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start Brno than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Frýdek Místek - Start Brno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Lasak K. (G) 15. Bialek D. (C) 17. Bielan M. 20. Gorcica A. 10. Heller J. 19. Hykel T. 8. Kedron D. 14. Nemec D. 16. Pak V. 3. Sami F. 6. Tomecek L.	1. Zadrapa J. (G) 77. Bartos V. 15. Caushaj A. 14. Novak P. (C) 6. Papez M. 21. Peska D. 11. Plichta A. 9. Praks T. 4. Slovak T. 10. Studeny S. 7. Zikl M.
Substitutes
12. Dluhos D. 11. Kohut T. 13. Obuch M. 1. Strmiska O. (G) 9. Sudak R. 4. Tvaruzka J. 18. Velicka B.	71. Andres J. (G) 18. Leimhofer S. 16. Remias J. 22. Rudyk D. 44. Srb T. 24. Vizingr V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Peska D. 🟨,
31', Nemec D. 🟨,
37', Heller J. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Bialek D. ⚽,
65', Nemec D. ↓, Velicka B. ↑,
66', Tomecek L. 🟨,
73', Studeny S. ↓, Leimhofer S. ↑,
76', Novak P. 🟨,
82', Pak V. ↓, Dluhos D. ↑,
82', Kedron D. ↓, Obuch M. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Velicka B. ⚽,
86', Obuch M. 🟨,
89', Papez M. 🟨,
90', Bartos V. ↓, Vizingr V. ↑,
90', Tomecek L. ↓, Kohut T. ↑,
90', Gorcica A. ↓, Tvaruzka J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).

Frýdek-Místek has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Start Brno is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Frýdek-Místek is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Frýdek-Místek won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Frýdek-Místek won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Frýdek-Místek
Czech MSFL
08.11.25	Unie Hlubina - Frýdek-Místek	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Frýdek-Místek - Slovácko B	2:2 ✺
29.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Sigma Olomouc B	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Hodonín - Frýdek-Místek	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Frýdek-Místek - Fotbal Třinec	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLT
- Start Brno
Czech MSFL
08.11.25	Start Brno - Uničov	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Polanka nad Odrou - Start Brno	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Start Brno - Vrchovina Nové Město na Moravě	1:5 ✺
18.10.25	Vsetín - Start Brno	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Start Brno - Zbrojovka Brno B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
12.04.25	Frýdek-Místek - Start Brno	3:2
07.09.24	Start Brno - Frýdek-Místek	2:1
11.05.24	Frýdek-Místek - Start Brno	1:0
07.10.23	Start Brno - Frýdek-Místek	1:2

Frýdek-Místek - Start Brno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide