Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)


	Fuenlabrada		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	1.98	3.15	3.45
	2.06	3.25	3.53
	2.1	3.31	3.25	Watch
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.42	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.22)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)	3.38 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
45%

Draw
28.1%

Alcalá
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.1%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

28.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Fuenlabrada - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Kone ⚽,
70', 0 - 2, Alburquerque A. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In recent matches, Fuenlabrada has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcalá is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Alcalá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fuenlabrada might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fuenlabrada won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Fuenlabrada - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 40.77%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Alcalá - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.13%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.26	Quintanar del Rey - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Fuenlabrada - Real Madrid C	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Elche Ilicitano - Fuenlabrada	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Fuenlabrada - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	San Sebastian Reyes - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWTL
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.04.26	Alcalá - Las Palmas B	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Alcalá - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Tenerife B - Alcalá	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Alcalá - Elche Ilicitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:0
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:3
11.08.22	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:1
07.08.19	Alcalá - Fuenlabrada	0:2

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