Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)


	Fuenlabrada		Intercity

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.82	3	2.32
	2.83	3.15	2.5
	3.01	3.17	2.31	Watch
	2.93	3.05	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.29)	3.09 ↓ (3.29)	2.37 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
31.8%

Draw
29.6%

Intercity
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

27.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Intercity's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Intercity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fuenlabrada - Intercity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Diallo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Fuenlabrada has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Intercity is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fuenlabrada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Las Palmas B - Fuenlabrada	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano B	5:0 ✺
21.09.25	Getafe B - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Fuenlabrada - San Sebastian Reyes	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Orihuela - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLL
- CF Intercity
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Intercity - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Intercity - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Orihuela - Intercity	0:4 ✺
14.09.25	Intercity - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Quintanar del Rey - Intercity	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:2
17.11.24	Intercity - Fuenlabrada	1:3

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