Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)


	Fuenlabrada		Linares Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.75	3.3	4.1
	1.77	3.25	4.2
	1.75	3.4	4.1
	1.69	3.58	5.37
	1.74	3.48	4.33
	1.77	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.27)	3.39 ↑ (3)	4.47 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
52.7%

Draw
26.9%

Linares Deportivo
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.5%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

31.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fuenlabrada's performance.

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Linares Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Linares Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fuenlabrada - Linares Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Fuenlabrada is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Linares is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fuenlabrada is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.09.22	Fuenlabrada - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.09.22	Fuenlabrada - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.09.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Fuenlabrada - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Córdoba - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTWL
- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.09.22	Linares Deportivo - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Talavera de la Reina - Linares Deportivo	2:3 ✺
11.09.22	Linares Deportivo - San Sebastian Reyes	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Unionistas de Salamanca - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Linares Deportivo - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWTW

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