Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Fuentes		Calamocha

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	3.55	3.4	1.92
	3.54	3.13	1.93
	3.67	3.33	1.94	Watch
	3.61	3.2	1.96
	3.55	3.4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.92)	3.26 ↑ (3.15)	1.93 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuentes
25.4%

Draw
27.8%

Calamocha
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuentes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuentes's form might have worsened.

Calamocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Calamocha's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuentes than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuentes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calamocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fuentes - Calamocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Recent matches Fuentes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Calamocha is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Calamocha will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fuentes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Fuentes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuentes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.12.24	Atlético Monzón - Fuentes	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Fuentes - Brea	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Almudévar - Fuentes	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Binéfar - Fuentes	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Fuentes - Zuera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLL
- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
01.12.24	Calamocha - Utrillas	2:2 ✺
24.11.24	La Almunia - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
20.11.24	Almudévar - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Calamocha - Zuera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
28.04.24	Calamocha - Fuentes	3:0
17.12.23	Fuentes - Calamocha	0:2

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