Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Binéfar		Calamocha

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.82	2.58
	2.82	2.8	2.67
	2.75	2.76	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)	2.79 ↓ (2.82)	2.61 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Binéfar
32.8%

Draw
32.5%

Calamocha
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

32%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

32.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Binéfar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Calamocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binéfar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamocha than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Binéfar - Calamocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Binéfar won 1.

Recent performances by Binéfar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calamocha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Binéfar won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Binéfar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Binéfar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.11.25	Huesca B - Binéfar	3:3 ✺
02.11.25	Binéfar - Cuarte	0:3 ✺
19.10.25	Binéfar - Caspe	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Binéfar - Zuera	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	La Almunia - Binéfar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLLWW
- CF Calamocha
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
09.11.25	Calamocha - Casetas	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zuera - Calamocha	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Calamocha - La Almunia	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Épila - Calamocha	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Calamocha - Belchite	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
23.02.25	Calamocha - Binéfar	2:2
13.10.24	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:1
28.03.24	Calamocha - Binéfar	0:0
29.10.23	Binéfar - Calamocha	0:1
08.01.23	Binéfar - Calamocha	1:0
11.09.22	Calamocha - Binéfar	0:1
24.04.22	Binéfar - Calamocha	2:0

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