Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Caspe		Utrillas

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.95
	1.84	3.04	4.80	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.6
	1.83	2.98	4.56
	1.8	3	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	4.73 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caspe
50.7%

Draw
30.1%

Utrillas
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.6%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

27%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caspe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Utrillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caspe than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrillas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Caspe - Utrillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caspe won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Caspe is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caspe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Caspe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Caspe	5	2	2	1	9:6	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Caspe
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.01.26	Tamarite - Caspe	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Caspe - Atlético Monzón	3:1 ✺
14.12.25	Almudévar - Caspe	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Caspe - Cariñena	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Calamocha - Caspe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLTW
- CD Utrillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
04.01.26	Utrillas - Binéfar	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Casetas - Utrillas	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Utrillas - Zuera	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	La Almunia - Utrillas	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Utrillas - Épila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 17
02.02.25	Caspe - Utrillas	0:2
22.09.24	Utrillas - Caspe	0:1
07.04.24	Utrillas - Caspe	2:0
19.11.23	Caspe - Utrillas	3:3
23.04.23	Utrillas - Caspe	0:2
17.12.22	Caspe - Utrillas	1:4

Caspe - Utrillas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide