Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Fuerte San Francisco		Zacatecoluca

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2.08	3	3.35
	2.16	3.02	3.43
	2.12	3.2	3.52	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.6
	2.05	3.42	3.47
	2.2	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.18)	3.07 ↓ (3.09)	3.37 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuerte San Francisco
43.3%

Draw
29.7%

Zacatecoluca
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fuerte San Francisco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zacatecoluca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Fuerte San Francisco - Zacatecoluca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fuerte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fuerte San Francisco will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Molina O. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Gallardo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Martinez C. ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).

Fuerte has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zacatecoluca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Fuerte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fuerte has had a series of away games.

Fuerte could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Fuerte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Fuerte San Francisco	14	1	6	7	9:23	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
18.02.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Municipal Limeño - Fuerte San Francisco	5:0 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
12.02.26	Racing de Gualaca - Fuerte San Francisco	1:2 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
07.02.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Fuerte San Francisco	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Águila	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL
- Zacatecoluca FC
El Salvador Primera Division
18.02.26	Municipal Limeño - Zacatecoluca	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	CD FAS - Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Hércules	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Isidro Metapán - Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
05.11.25	Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0
04.09.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Zacatecoluca	1:2

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