Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO


	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca		Fuerte San Francisco

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.25	3.40
	1.92	3.1	3.55
	1.96	3.3	3.68
	1.97	3.39	3.76	Watch
	1.89	3.2	3.6
	1.89	3.2	3.74	Watch
	1.93	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.04)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
47%

Draw
28%

Fuerte San Francisco
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Fuerte San Francisco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuerte San Francisco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense Municipal won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Platense Municipal (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fuerte is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Platense Municipal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Platense Municipal is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Platense Municipal has recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:21 (averaging 1.1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Platense Municipal against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Platense Municipal	14	4	4	6	15:19	-4	16
12	Fuerte San Francisco	14	1	6	7	9:23	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Primera Division
20.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Cacahuatique - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Inter Santa Tecla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWL
- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
23.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Fuerte San Francisco	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Águila - Fuerte San Francisco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
26.07.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:1
El Salvador Copa Presidente
21.04.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:0
El Salvador Primera Division
15.04.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:1
El Salvador Copa Presidente
09.04.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1
El Salvador Primera Division
18.02.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1
01.11.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	0:0
31.08.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1

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