The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fulgens Foligno 29.1%
Draw 26.9%
Livorno 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.3%
28%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
27.8%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fulgens Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Livorno's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulgens Foligno than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-5%)
Fulgens Foligno - Livorno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Khribech W. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Regoli V. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Settimi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 2 - 2, Dionisi F. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Fulgens Foligno is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Livorno is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Livorno could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.