The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spezia 60.5%
Draw 24%
Livorno 15.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.9%
26.6%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
24.8%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spezia's performance.
Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Spezia - Livorno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Ciocci G. (G) 31. Oyono J. 55. Spedalieri J. 65. Giorgeschi S. 3. Cancellieri D. 5. Joselito 21. Candelari P. 77. Durmush M. 24. Limonelli C. 34. Cannavo K. 10. Jimenez K.
22. Ciobanu D. (G) 2. Gentile D. 3. Menarini F. 4. Bachini M. 53. Pittino T. 5. Bacciardi A. 44. Bonassi L. 90. Calabro L. 24. Badoro C. 77. Mawete J. C. 14. Mancini T.
Substitutes
20. Bastoni S. 44. Benvenuto M. 70. Bright K. 72. Capolupo S. 14. Capomaggio G. 11. Cardinali A. 75. Cassano A. 97. Cazzadori D. 7. Di Serio G. 35. Doretti G. (G) 90. Fontanarosa R. 37. Mateju A. 1. Micai A. (G) 13. Sapola M. 6. Sganzerla R.
17. Arrigoni T. 6. Djidji K. 9. Gabbiani G. 32. Haas N. 11. Malagrida L. 21. Malotti M. 23. Marinari J. 91. Martinez M. (G) 18. Morachioli G. 8. Peralta D. 28. Rizza A. 1. Tani F. (G) 34. Veseli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Mancini T. ⚽,
34', Limonelli C. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
37', Bonassi L. 🟨,
38', Spedalieri J. 🟨,
38', Bachini M. 🟨,
43', Badoro C. 🟨,
45+2', Mancini T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Badoro C. ↓, Morachioli G. ↑,
46', Bachini M. ↓, Veseli F. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Jimenez K. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Pittino T. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
71', Durmush M. ↓, Cardinali A. ↑,
73', Bacciardi A. 🟨,
82', Cannavo K. ↓, Capolupo S. ↑,
82', Candelari P. ↓, Bright K. ↑,
82', Cancellieri D. ↓, Cassano A. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Di Serio G. ⚽,
90+6', Calabro L. ↓, Peralta D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 5.
Spezia arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Livorno have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Spezia is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Spezia in today's match, at odds of 1.64.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Spezia has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 26:5 (averaging 2.4:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spezia against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.3 per game).
Italy
Switzerland
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Ciocci G. (G) 
Oyono J. 
Joselito 
Durmush M. 
Cannavo K. 
Ciobanu D. (G) 
Badoro C. 
Capomaggio G. 
Mateju A. 
Sapola M. 
Djidji K. 
Haas N. 
Veseli F. 
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