Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group E - Round 22

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Fulgens Foligno		Trestina

	1	X	2
	1.77	3	4.5
	1.78	3.05	4.8
	1.8	2.71	5.45
	1.76	3.13	4.96	Watch
	1.8	3	4.2
	1.74	3.44	4.28
	1.78	3.05	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	3.05 ↓ (3.74)	4.71 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulgens Foligno
51.1%

Draw
29.7%

Trestina
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.3%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

23.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulgens Foligno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fulgens Foligno's form might have worsened.

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulgens Foligno than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fulgens Foligno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Fulgens Foligno - Trestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Settimi T. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Mencagli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, Settimi T. ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, Calderini E. ⚽,
73', 4 - 1, Khribech W. ⚽,
78', 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 2, Sensi F. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Fulgens Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.01.25	Fulgens Foligno - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Figline - Fulgens Foligno	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Fulgens Foligno - SanGiovanniValdarno	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Terranuova Traiana - Fulgens Foligno	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Poggibonsi - Fulgens Foligno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTW
- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.01.25	Terranuova Traiana - Trestina	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Trestina - Livorno	0:1 ✺
05.01.25	Poggibonsi - Trestina	2:1 ✺
22.12.24	Orvietana - Trestina	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Trestina - Seravezza Pozzi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
06.10.24	Trestina - Fulgens Foligno	3:2

Fulgens Foligno - Trestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide