Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Poggibonsi		Trestina

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.52
	2.56	3.22	2.56	Watch
	2.54	3.1	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.54)	3.14 ↑ (3.13)	2.54 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poggibonsi
35.6%

Draw
28.8%

Trestina
35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Poggibonsi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Trestina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Poggibonsi - Trestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Ferri Marini D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+11', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poggibonsi
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.03.26	Seravezza Pozzi - Poggibonsi	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Poggibonsi - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Poggibonsi	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Poggibonsi - Foligno	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Prato - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 TLWWL
- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.03.26	Trestina - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tau Altopascio - Trestina	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Camaiore - Trestina	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Grosseto - Trestina	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Trestina - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
09.11.25	Trestina - Poggibonsi	1:0
05.01.25	Poggibonsi - Trestina	2:1
08.09.24	Trestina - Poggibonsi	0:1
14.01.24	Poggibonsi - Trestina	1:1
17.09.23	Trestina - Poggibonsi	1:3
22.01.23	Poggibonsi - Trestina	2:1
18.09.22	Trestina - Poggibonsi	3:1

Poggibonsi - Trestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide