Match Info

ICELAND: Besta deild karla - Round 14

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday

Location: Fylkisvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Jonsson J. I. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Stod 2 Sport
World	Onefootball app


	Fylkir		Akraness

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.8	2.15
	2.78	3.85	2.2	Watch
	2.84	4.33	2.19
	2.77	4.31	2.19	Watch
	2.62	3.9	2.1
	2.81	4.05	2.16	Watch
	2.75	3.9	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.99)	4.02 ↑ (3.97)	2.16 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fylkir
33.8%

Draw
23.2%

Akraness
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

23.1%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

22%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akraness could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	6.2%	75%

Fylkir - Akraness Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Fylkir will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Akraness will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akraness: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helgason O. (G) 17. Eythorsson B. 5. Stefansson O. 24. Jorundsson S. 27. Asthorsson A. 70. Tyrfingsson G. 8. Sveinsson R. 9. Praest M. 80. Thordarson H. 22. Stefansson O. 18. Gunnarsson N.	1. Einarsson A. (G) 66. Gislason J. G. E. 4. Jonsson H. 13. Sandberg E. 6. Stefansson O. 3. Vall J. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 88. Smarason A. 19. Vardic M. 9. Jonsson V. 11. Hardarson H.
Substitutes
19. Gislason A. 21. Gudbjornsson A. 11. Hafthorsson T. G. 30. Helgason H. (G) 3. Ingvarsson U. 4. Stefansson S. 25. Vikingsson T.	7. Finnbogason A. 22. Heimisson A. 23. Hilmarsson H. 5. Hjorleifsson A. 31. Hodzic D. (G) 18. Leosson G. 17. Sigurdsson I.
Coaches
Sigmundsson R.	Hauksson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Thordarson H. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Stefansson O. ⚽, Tyrfingsson G. (A),
22', Vall J. 🟨,
29', 2 - 0, Stefansson O. ⚽, Asthorsson A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Gunnarsson N. 🟨,
68', Thordarson H. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑,
76', Tyrfingsson G. ↓, Gudbjornsson A. ↑,
84', Jonsson H. ↓, Finnbogason A. ↑,
84', Stefansson O. ↓, Vikingsson T. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Gudbjornsson A. ⚽, Gunnarsson N. (A),
86', Smarason A. ↓, Sigurdsson I. ↑,
90+2', Thorsteinsson S. ↓, Heimisson A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fylkir won 1.

Fylkir is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Akraness is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Fylkir have a series of guest games.

Akraness will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Fylkir won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Fylkir won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fylkir Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	Valur - Fylkir	4:0 ✺
27.06.24	KR Reykjavík - Fylkir	2:2 ✺
23.06.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fylkir	3:1 ✺
18.06.24	Fylkir - Vestri	3:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.06.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Fylkir	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWL
- IA Akraness
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.07.24	Akraness - HK Kópavogur	8:0 ✺
28.06.24	Akraness - Valur	3:2 ✺
23.06.24	Breiðablik - Akraness	1:1 ✺
18.06.24	Akraness - KR Reykjavík	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	KA Akureyri - Akraness	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
21.04.24	Akraness - Fylkir	5:1
19.09.21	Akraness - Fylkir	5:0
20.06.21	Fylkir - Akraness	3:1
15.08.20	Akraness - Fylkir	3:2
06.07.19	Akraness - Fylkir	2:0
05.05.19	Fylkir - Akraness	2:2
22.08.16	Fylkir - Akraness	0:3

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