Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 10

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Akranesvöllur (Akranes)

Referee: Robertsson G. F. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Akraness		Valur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.80	2.95
	2.08	3.60	2.85	Watch
	2.03	4.16	3.20
	2.26	3.98	2.79	Watch
	2.00	3.60	2.90
	2.03	3.94	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)	3.85 ↑ (3.73)	2.97 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akraness
44.8%

Draw
24.1%

Valur
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akraness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Akraness - Valur Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Akraness will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Valur will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Akraness: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4 - under (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Simonarson J. S. (G) 66. Gislason J. G. E. 13. Sandberg E. T. 5. Berndsen B. 21. Bodvarsson B. (C) 11. Eyjolfsson G. 8. Thorarinsson G. 7. Haraldsson H. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 9. Jonsson V. 22. Stefansson O.	18. Schram F. (G) 21. Palsson J. 4. Nakkim M. 15. Eyjolfsson H. (C) 66. Stephensen O. 28. Fridjonsson S. 6. Antonsson B. 5. Arnarsson K. 14. Skoglund A. 17. Heimisson L. 12. Haraldsson T.
Substitutes
31. Eidem I. (G) 28. Grzegorzsson D. 20. Gudjonsson I. 15. Gunnarsson G. 16. Sigurjonsson R. 10. Thorsteinsson S. 17. Unnarsson G. 3. Vall J. 35. Zumbergs A.	25. Agustsson S. (G) 27. Eiriksson P. 13. Haagensen K. 30. Heiddalur G. 8. Jonsson J. 16. Kristjansson L. 23. Palsson A. 11. Stole I. 24. Veldman M.
Coaches
Sigurdsson L.	Hreidarsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Berndsen B. ↓, Vall J. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Jonsson V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Palsson J. 🟨,
64', Stephensen O. 🟨,
66', Arnarsson K. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
66', Nakkim M. ↓, Veldman M. ↑,
67', Stephensen O. ↓, Jonsson J. ↑,
68', Thorarinsson G. 🟨,
73', Stefansson O. ↓, Thorsteinsson S. ↑,
75', Haraldsson T. 🟨,
75', Skoglund A. 🟨,
81', Antonsson B. 🟨,
84', Bodvarsson B. 🟨,
84', Thorarinsson G. ↓, Sigurjonsson R. ↑,
86', Heimisson L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 1.

Akraness is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valur has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Akraness may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Akraness could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:51. (average 1.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Akranes	24	9	6	9	44:47	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IA Akraness
Icelandic Cup
12.06.26	Akraness - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
29.05.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Akraness	0:1 ✺
21.05.26	Akraness - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Akraness	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Akraness - Grindavik	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTWW
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
31.05.26	Valur - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:5 ✺
26.05.26	KR Reykjavík - Valur	3:1 ✺
22.05.26	KA Akureyri - Valur	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Valur - Breiðablik	3:2 ✺
08.05.26	Fram - Valur	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
26.02.26	Akraness - Valur	2:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.08.25	Akraness - Valur	2:2
10.05.25	Valur - Akraness	6:1
Icelandic League Cup
15.02.25	Akraness - Valur	1:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
26.10.24	Valur - Akraness	6:1
28.06.24	Akraness - Valur	3:2
07.04.24	Valur - Akraness	2:0

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