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Current Win Probability
Fylkir 52%
Draw 20.5%
FH Hafnarfjordur 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.8%
17.5%
65.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
12.5%
46.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+35.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fylkir's performance.
FH Hafnarfjordur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-38.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FH Hafnarfjordur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-28.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fylkir that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FH Hafnarfjordur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fylkir - FH Hafnarfjordur Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 3. Asthorsson A. 17. Eythorsson B. 10. Gardarsson B. 7. Hilmarsson M. 4. Jonsson H. 6. Leosson G. 92. Sigfusson K. 5. Stefansson O. (C) 8. Traustason D.
1. Andresson J. (G) 3. Frostason K. S. 32. Gislason G. 90. Gudjohnsen A. 38. Gudmundsson A. 6. Gunnarsson G. (C) 7. Halldorsson K. 37. Helgason B. 23. Robertsson T. 40. Saevarsson R. 66. Vidarsson V.
Substitutes
19. Gislason A. 18. Gunnarsson N. 14. Gunnarsson T. 20. Oskarsson T. 30. Palsson S. (G) 70. Tyrfingsson G. 9. Wohler E.
24. Arnarsson D. (G) 4. Carlsson T. 9. Finnbogason Kr. 19. Jonsson A. 31. Ketilsson K. 35. Purisevic A. 41. Steinarsson A. 39. Thorsson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Helgason B. (Own goal),
19', 2 - 0, Jonsson H. ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, Hilmarsson M. ⚽,
38', Gudmundsson A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 4 - 0, Traustason D. ⚽,
53', 5 - 0, Hilmarsson M. ⚽, Sigfusson K. (A),
59', Robertsson T. ↓, Thorsson B. ↑,
59', Halldorsson K. ↓, Steinarsson A. ↑,
59', Helgason B. ↓, Ketilsson K. ↑,
65', Eythorsson B. ↓, Gunnarsson T. ↑,
68', Hilmarsson M. ↓, Tyrfingsson G. ↑,
69', Traustason D. ↓, Wohler E. ↑,
69', Gislason G. ↓, Purisevic A. ↑,
76', Leosson G. 🟨,
80', Gardarsson B. ↓, Oskarsson T. ↑,
86', Arnarsson B. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 3.
Fylkir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Hafnarfjordur is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Fylkir has had a series of home games.
Recently, Hafnarfjordur has had a series of away games.
In this match, Hafnarfjordur is a strong favorite.
We predict that Fylkir will win today's game, with odds of 3.98.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fylkir won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:37. (average 1.4:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Fylkir won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 1.4:2).