Match Info

Division 2 - Round 4

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Górnik Łęczna		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.20	2.60
	1.75	3.35	3.9
	1.68	4.12	4.52
	1.91	3.76	3.58	Watch
	1.6	4.1	4.45
	1.66	3.91	4.69	Watch
	1.75	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)	3.7 ↑ (3.18)	3.94 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
51.3%

Draw
25.1%

Podhale Nowy Targ
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

27.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

28.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Górnik Łęczna's performance.

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Górnik Łęczna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Górnik Łęczna - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matysek A. (G) 29. Antkowiak H. 10. Deja A. 3. Holownia M. 17. Janaszek F. 4. Jaroszynski P. 7. Korbecki B. 74. Kruk K. 38. Myszor J. 19. Quainoo S. 16. Walski M.	33. Fratczak D. (G) 28. Brod A. 41. Gozdecki N. 77. Koltanski D. 42. Lipien M. 20. Lukasz A. 6. Mikolajczyk B. 7. Seweryn L. 4. Sewerys R. 14. Sobczak S. 71. Talar K.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. 9. Novotny J. 88. Osipiuk O. 27. Rogala G. 26. Samonek W. 40. Stadnicki E. 11. Tkacz D. 23. Turek K. 99. Wilk K. (G)	56. Baniowski F. 9. Kurzeja B. 29. Marcinho 10. Nowak A. 18. Pecarka R. 23. Rachwal R. 2. Salak K. 1. Styrczula M. (G) 17. Surzyn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Deja A. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Janaszek F. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Jaroszynski P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Lipien M. ↓, Kurzeja B. ↑,
46', Gozdecki N. ↓, Baniowski F. ↑,
61', Brod A. ↓, Surzyn M. ↑,
61', Sobczak S. ↓, Marcinho ↑,
66', Lukasz A. 🟨,
67', 4 - 0, Holownia M. ⚽,
68', Quainoo S. ↓, Stadnicki E. ↑,
68', Janaszek F. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
73', Korbecki B. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
73', Deja A. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
76', Koltanski D. ↓, Rachwal R. ↑,
78', Kruk K. ↓, Osipiuk O. ↑,
79', 5 - 0, Rogala G. ⚽,
80', 5 - 1, Marcinho ⚽,
81', Myszor J. 🟨,
86', 5 - 2, Marcinho ⚽,
90+2', Rachwal R. 🟨,

Preview

Górnik Łęczna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Podhale is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Leczna: 13.59% Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Leczna	10	6	2	2	21:10	11	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20:18	2	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 2
09.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
01.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Avia Świdnik	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Swit Skolwin - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Stal Rzeszów - Górnik Łęczna	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWL
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
08.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	2:5 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
01.08.26	Sokół Kleczew - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Śląsk Wrocław 2	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podhale Nowy Targ	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTWW

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