The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Górnik Łęczna 30.9%
Draw 25.5%
Pogoń Szczecin 43.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
26.5%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
25.3%
34.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Szczecin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Górnik Łęczna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 1.
Górnik Łęczna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Pogoń Szczecin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.6:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1:2.3).