Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 19

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Pogoń Szczecin		Czarni Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.55	2.28
	2.71	3.6	2.24
	2.59	3.56	2.35	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.3
	2.46	3.73	2.46
	2.7	3.5	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.3 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
34.9%

Draw
25.7%

Czarni Sosnowiec
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.6%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.7%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Czarni Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.

In recent matches, Pogoń Szczecin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Czarni Sosnowiec is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraliga Women for now

Czarni Sosnowiec W: 39.61% Pogon Szczecin W: 5.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Czarni Sosnowiec W	5	4	1	0	15:3	12	13
5	Pogon Szczecin W	7	4	0	3	16:9	7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
25.04.26	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup Women
21.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Lech UAM Poznań	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	AZS UJ Kraków - Pogoń Szczecin	0:6 ✺
25.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin - AP Gdańsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Czarni Sosnowiec
Polish Ekstraliga Women
25.04.26	Pogoń Tczew - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:8 ✺
Polish Cup Women
21.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.04.26	Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Lech UAM Poznań - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	Czarni Sosnowiec - AZS UJ Kraków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup Women
21.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2 penalties
Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.10.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1
Polish Cup Women
17.05.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 penalties
Polish Ekstraliga Women
27.04.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2
05.10.24	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Szczecin	0:1
14.04.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:3
16.09.23	Czarni Sosnowiec - Pogoń Szczecin	2:2

Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide