Match Info

Super Lig - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu (Izmir)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Göztepe		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.22	3.44	3.11
	2.4	3.54	3.02
	1.55	4.21	5.57	Watch
	2.51	3.66	2.79	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.74)	3.63 ↑ (3.29)	3.31 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Göztepe
43.2%

Draw
27.1%

Beşiktaş
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

29%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

28.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Göztepe's performance.

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Göztepe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Göztepe - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Göztepe will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Beşiktaş (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Beşiktaş (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lis M. (C) 3. Allan Godoi 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 6. Rhaldney 30. Dennis A. 15. Cherni A. 10. Olaitan J. 39. Janderson 9. Juan Santos	1. Gunok M. (G) 25. Sazdagi G. 3. Gabriel Paulista 14. Uduokhai F. 39. Jurasek D. 20. Uysal N. (C) 5. Tiknaz D. E. 18. Cerny V. 27. Rafa Silva 19. Toure E. B. 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
4. Altikardes T. 23. Bayir F. 11. Bekiroglu E. 8. Ildiz A. 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 12. Koybasi I. 20. Miroshi N. 13. Ruan Teixeira 7. Sabra I. 22. Yildiz U.	99. Bilgin E. (G) 22. Bulut T. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 35. Djalo T. 26. Jota Silva 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 52. Sahin D. 53. Topcu E. 11. Under C. 33. Yilmaz R.
Coaches
Stoilov S.	Yalcin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Juan Santos ⚽, Heliton (A),
16', Kurtulan A. 🟨,
19', 2 - 0, Rhaldney ⚽, Kurtulan A. (A),
35', Olaitan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Rafa Silva ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
61', Cerny V. ↓, Under C. ↑,
67', Juan Santos ↓, Miroshi N. ↑,
71', Uysal N. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
71', Jurasek D. ↓, Yilmaz R. ↑,
78', Rhaldney ↓, Bekiroglu E. ↑,
81', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
83', Olaitan J. ↓, Ildiz A. ↑,
83', Kurtulan A. ↓, Altikardes T. ↑,
84', Janderson ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Sabra I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 2.

Göztepe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Beşiktaş has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Göztepe: Bayrak O. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Hekimoglu M. (Muscle Injury) Kokcu O. (Red Card) Ndidi W. (Injury)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Altikardes T. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Göztepe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Göztepe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
14.09.25	Kayserispor - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Göztepe - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Göztepe	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Göztepe - Fenerbahçe	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Göztepe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TTWTW
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
13.09.25	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Alanyaspor - Beşiktaş	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.08.25	Beşiktaş - Lausanne-Sport	0:1 ✺
21.08.25	Lausanne-Sport - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.08.25	Beşiktaş - Eyüpspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
19.04.25	Göztepe - Beşiktaş	1:1
Turkish Cup
03.04.25	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	1:3
Turkish Super League
24.11.24	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	2:4
15.05.22	Göztepe - Beşiktaş	0:2
Turkish Cup
10.02.22	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	1:0 penalties
Turkish Super League
23.12.21	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	2:1
15.05.21	Göztepe - Beşiktaş	1:2

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