Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 19

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Klitte F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play


	GAIS		IFK Göteborg

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.5
	2.02	3.45	3.55	Watch
	2.02	3.51	3.8
	2.14	3.51	3.22	Watch
	2	3.5	3.5
	2.07	3.58	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.94)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.54 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GAIS
46.6%

Draw
26.8%

IFK Göteborg
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

26.7%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GAIS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

IFK Göteborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.5%	8.1%	5.4%

GAIS - IFK Göteborg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +0.5 - Göteborg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: GAIS will win (32 of 37 users predict this - 86.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.48% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): GAIS will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. GAIS (votes: 20 - 83.3%). Göteborg (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 12. Frej R. 4. Agren O. 2. de Brienne M. 9. Lundgren G. 18. Holmen K. 10. Boudri A. 16. Niklasson R. 19. Diabate I. 11. Becirovic E.	25. Bishesari E. (G) 29. Santos T. 5. Bager J. 3. Erlingmark A. 22. Tolf N. 23. Thordarson K. 13. Svensson G. (C) 14. Heintz T. 7. Clemmensen S. 9. Fenger M. 11. Alioum S.
Substitutes
24. Beckman F. 7. Fagerjord J. 14. Gustafsson F. 28. Hedlund L. 32. Ibrahim H. 25. Lindberg J. 13. Sims K. (G) 17. Thorkelsson R. 5. Wendin R.	27. Boren A. 16. Carlstrand L. 10. Carneil H. 1. Dahlberg P. (G) 8. Jagne I. 30. Lundqvist R. 6. Trondsen A. 33. Tyren V. 4. Yeboah R.
Coaches
Holmberg F.	Billborn S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Thordarson K. ⚽, Alioum S. (A),
21', Diabate I. (Pen),
30', Becirovic E. 🟨,
30', Clemmensen S. 🟨,
37', Boudri A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Thordarson K. 🟨,
62', Becirovic E. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
62', de Brienne M. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
62', Tolf N. ↓, Trondsen A. ↑,
62', Clemmensen S. ↓, Lundqvist R. ↑,
62', Thordarson K. ↓, Jagne I. ↑,
63', Holmen K. 🟨,
74', Agren O. ↓, Beckman F. ↑,
74', Niklasson R. ↓, Wendin R. ↑,
78', Bishesari E. 🟨,
82', Holmen K. ↓, Hedlund L. ↑,
87', Santos T. ↓, Yeboah R. ↑,
90+3', Lundgren G. 🟨,
90+4', Lundqvist R. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 2.

GAIS is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Göteborg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Göteborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

GAIS could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Göteborg: Boren A. (Inactive) Eriksson F. (Inactive) Kahed L. (Injury) Kruse D. (Yellow Cards) Mucolli A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Göteborg: Erlingmark A. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GAIS won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, GAIS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GAIS
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.08.25	Värnamo - GAIS	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	GAIS - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Degerfors - GAIS	0:3 ✺
13.07.25	GAIS - Hammarby	3:2 ✺
05.07.25	GAIS - Malmö	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWT
- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.08.25	IFK Göteborg - Degerfors	3:0 ✺
28.07.25	Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg	4:3 ✺
20.07.25	Sirius - IFK Göteborg	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	IFK Göteborg - Sirius	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
28.04.25	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	1:1
30.09.24	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	2:0
06.05.24	GAIS - IFK Göteborg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
26.02.23	GAIS - IFK Göteborg	2:1
26.02.19	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	GAIS awarded
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.09.12	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	0:0
21.05.12	GAIS - IFK Göteborg	1:1

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