The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GE Bagé 38.4%
Draw 34%
Gramadense 27.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
33.4%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
29.7%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GE Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Gramadense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gramadense than the current prediction. (+2%)
GE Bagé - Gramadense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th and 15th in the Relegation ~ Gaucho 3).
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
GE Bagé is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, GE Bagé has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for GE Bagé against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).