Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: GIEKSA Arena (Bełchatów)


	GKS Bełchatów		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.45	1.6
	7.63	6.19	1.26	Watch
	3.85	4.45	1.63	Watch
	3.9	4.45	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.35)	4.89 ↑ (3.83)	1.54 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Bełchatów
19.6%

Draw
19.2%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

23.7%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

23.4%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Bełchatów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GKS Bełchatów's form might have worsened.

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ząbkovia Ząbki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Bełchatów than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GKS Bełchatów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ząbkovia Ząbki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Augustyniak M. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Bartosinski J. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Blaszczyk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
63', 🟥,
74', 2 - 2, Czulowski P. ⚽,
75', 2 - 3, Kalisz K. ⚽,
77', 2 - 4, Sonnenberg P. ⚽,
82', 3 - 4, ⚽,
85', 3 - 5, ⚽,
88', 3 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 1.

Bełchatów has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ząbkovia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Ząbkovia is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bełchatów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bełchatów won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Bełchatów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
31.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - GKS Bełchatów	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Troszyn - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Broń Radom	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWT
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
30.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Troszyn	6:2 ✺
27.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:3 ✺
08.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
05.03.16	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	GKS Belchatow awarded
15.08.15	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:1
Club Friendly
01.07.14	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:1
Polish Division 1
21.05.14	Ząbkovia Ząbki - GKS Bełchatów	2:1
26.10.13	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:0
Club Friendly
19.01.13	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:3

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