Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Ząbkovia Ząbki		Troszyn

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.4	5.25
	1.58	3.8	4.65
	1.62	3.59	4.73
	1.67	4.32	3.88	Watch
	1.66	4.31	3.9	Watch
	1.45	4.5	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	4.15 ↓ (4.6)	4.61 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ząbkovia Ząbki
58.2%

Draw
22%

Troszyn
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

20.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

19.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ząbkovia Ząbki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Troszyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troszyn than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki - Troszyn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, ⚽,
55', 4 - 0, ⚽,
64', 4 - 1, ⚽,
71', 5 - 1, ⚽,
77', 5 - 2, ⚽,
89', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Ząbkovia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Troszyn is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Troszyn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ząbkovia is the team to beat.

We predict that Ząbkovia will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:3 ✺
08.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Mławianka Mława	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWW
- KS CK Troszyn
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.25	Troszyn - Mławianka Mława	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Troszyn - GKS Bełchatów	2:3 ✺
09.08.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Troszyn - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLW

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