Match Info

Division 2 - Round 24

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.5	4.05	1.46
	6.36	4.33	1.47
	5.54	4.62	1.49	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.44
	6.77	4.06	1.48	Watch
	4.9	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (4.8)	4.15 ↑ (4)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
15.8%

Draw
22%

Hutnik
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

22.2%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

21.4%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

GKS Jastrzębie - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Molga M. (G) 15. Bak M. 5. Bednorz K. 23. Bykowski M. 6. Jastrzembski M. 3. Kriegler B. 10. Lopes I. 9. Matysek S. 25. Millimono T. 2. Tomal J. 4. Wybraniec N. (C)	1. Wroblewski K. (G) 14. Bracik K. 5. Burka D. 13. Gandziarowski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 24. Semik K. 21. Szablowski K. 6. Urbanczyk M. 43. Zawada O.
Substitutes
21. Golofit M. 14. Gosciniarek K. 18. Kakolewski I. 17. Koczy K. 22. Lubowiecki K. 31. Neugebauer B. (G) 20. Osipiak M. 7. Siga J.	18. Basse A. 16. Bil S. 2. Galazka A. 3. Holuj F. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 8. Jopek S. 4. Kedziora L. 37. Motrycz A. 10. Sowinski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Kielis P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', 0 - 2, Burka D. ⚽,
78', (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2.

GKS Jastrzębie is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hutnik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hutnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hutnik is a strong favorite.

We predict that Hutnik will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Hutnik Krakow: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16:13	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
18.03.26	GKS Jastrzębie - Sokół Kleczew	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Warta Poznań - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	GKS Jastrzębie - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - GKS Jastrzębie	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	GKS Jastrzębie - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
14.03.26	Hutnik - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Hutnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.09.25	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	3:0
17.11.24	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0
19.07.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Hutnik	5:0
24.02.24	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
13.08.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Hutnik	1:0
25.02.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Hutnik	0:1
31.07.22	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0

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