Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion miejski w Katowicach (Katowice)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
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	GKS Katowice		Zagłębie Lubin

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.27	3.5	3.23
	2.41	3.30	2.89	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.26	3.41	3.11	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)	3.36 ↑ (3.23)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Katowice
41.3%

Draw
27.9%

Zagłębie Lubin
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	53.8%	15.4%

GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kudla D. (G) 30. Czerwinski A. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 23. Wasielewski M. 7. Rosolek M. 77. Kowalczyk M. 8. Galan B. 11. Blad A. 19. Lukasiak K. 27. Nowak B.	30. Hladun D. (G) 27. Kludka B. 25. Nalepa M. 5. Lawniczak A. 3. Yakuba R. 39. Kocaba F. 8. Dabrowski D. (C) 17. Wdowiak M. 18. Radwanski A. 77. Szmyt K. 44. Regula M.
Substitutes
28. Brod A. 21. Buksa A. 24. Gruszkowski K. 13. Jaroszek B. 2. Kuusk M. 14. Lukowski J. 3. Paluszek A. 20. Rejczyk F. 12. Straczek R. (G) 18. Swatowski M. 25. Trepka L. 10. Wedrychowski M.	20. Dziewiatowski M. 26. Kolan J. 9. Kosidis M. 35. Lucic L. 6. Makowski T. 22. Matysek A. (G) 4. Michalski D. 7. Mroz M. 71. Nowogonski K. 99. Popielec C. 19. Sypek J. 11. Wozniak A.
Coaches
Gorak R.	Ojrzynski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Regula M. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
18', Wdowiak M. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Radwanski A. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 2, Nowak B. ⚽,
60', Radwanski A. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
60', Wdowiak M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
62', Blad A. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
62', Rosolek M. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
70', Regula M. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
71', Kowalczyk M. 🟨,
76', Lukasiak K. ↓, Gruszkowski K. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Nowak B. ⚽, Czerwinski A. (A),
89', Wasielewski M. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, GKS Katowice has had a series of home games.

GKS Katowice could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS Katowice
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.25	GKS Katowice - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	GKS Katowice - Sigma Olomouc	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	GKS Katowice - Stal Rzeszów	3:0 ✺
25.06.25	Pogoń Szczecin - GKS Katowice	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	GKS Katowice - MFK Košice	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLW
- Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów	2:2 ✺
11.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin	0:1 ✺
08.07.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Teplice	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Lubin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
09.03.25	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0
31.08.24	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	1:0
Polish Division 1
25.04.15	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin	0:5
28.09.14	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	1:0
Club Friendly
15.02.13	Zagłębie Lubin - GKS Katowice	2:1

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