Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday


	GOAL FC		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.39	3.15	2.76
	2.69	3.07	2.89
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.49	3.1	2.77	Watch
	2.48	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.38)	3.07 ↓ (3.28)	2.75 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GOAL FC
36.9%

Draw
29.8%

Dijon
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

28.1%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

27.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GOAL FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in GOAL FC's performance.

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dijon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GOAL FC than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with GOAL FC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.4%	14.7%	77.9%

GOAL FC - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. GOAL FC will win (votes: 5 - 7.4%). Dijon will win (votes: 53 - 77.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dijon: 68% – 87.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Philippon A. (G) 20. Abbas C. 12. Assef M. 22. Camara O. 17. Camelo L. 3. Julloux A. 10. Lemaitre T. 4. Lopy M. 28. Meynadier T. 26. Socka Bongue L. 27. Suljic C.	40. Risser R. (G) 34. Ariss Z. 18. Drouhin A. 20. Fdaouch Z. 23. Makutungu C. 14. Marie J. (C) 11. Nassi W. 8. Schur K. 6. Souici R. 28. Soumare B. 5. Temanfo A.
Substitutes
16. Drais E. 24. Fichten L. 14. Goncalves A. 5. M'Dahoma K. 23. Tanard N.	21. Ben Fredj M. 17. Chahid Y. 33. Irie C. 25. Moco Z. 22. N'Chobi Y.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 6).

GOAL FC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dijon is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dijon will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GOAL FC
French Ligue 3
12.01.24	GOAL FC - Versailles	2:0 ✺
15.12.23	Nîmes - GOAL FC	1:2 ✺
24.11.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - GOAL FC	2:2 ✺
10.11.23	GOAL FC - Niort	2:3 ✺
03.11.23	Cholet - GOAL FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTLL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 3
22.01.24	Dijon - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
12.01.24	Martigues - Dijon	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Dijon - Annecy	5:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
15.12.23	Dijon - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Quevilly - Dijon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWLL

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