Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Ludovic Giuly (Chasselay)


	GOAL FC		Le Puy

	1	X	2
	5.04	2.86	1.86
	4.41	2.77	2	Watch
	4.44	2.8	1.94
	3.2	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (2.85)	2.96 ↓ (3.34)	1.99 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GOAL FC
21.8%

Draw
31.4%

Le Puy
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.4%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

26.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GOAL FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that GOAL FC's form might have worsened.

Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Puy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GOAL FC than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for GOAL FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

GOAL FC - Le Puy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
16', 0 - 1, Ben Fredj M. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Esmel H. ⚽,
39', 0 - 3, Faty M. ⚽,
42', 0 - 4, Ben Fredj M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 5, Ben Fredj M. ⚽,
69', 0 - 6, Ben Fredj M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National).

GOAL FC is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Le Puy is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Le Puy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, GOAL FC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GOAL FC
French National 1 - Group A
26.04.25	GFA Rumilly Vallières - GOAL FC	0:0 ✺
18.04.25	GOAL FC - Andrézieux	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cannes - GOAL FC	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	GOAL FC - Toulon	3:2 ✺
14.03.25	GOAL FC - Istres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL
- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French National 1 - Group A
25.04.25	Le Puy - Fréjus Saint-Raphaël	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Angoulême - Le Puy	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Le Puy - Hyères	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Genêts Anglet - Le Puy	1:3 ✺
21.03.25	Le Puy - Saint-Priest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group A
26.02.25	Le Puy - GOAL FC	4:0
French National 1 - Group B
20.01.18	Le Puy - GOAL FC	0:1

GOAL FC - Le Puy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide