Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 6h 📅 Remind Me


	Le Puy		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.40	3.05
	2.45	3.60	2.76
	2.35	3.46	2.64	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.70
	2.31	3.35	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.49)	3.42 ↑ (3.21)	2.75 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Puy
39.8%

Draw
26.8%

Caen
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.3%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Puy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Puy than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Le Puy - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion: )).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Le Puy may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Le Puy has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Le Puy against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caen	10	6	0	4	19:13	6	18
6	Le Puy-en-Velay	10	5	1	4	12:9	3	16

Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now

Caen: 24.77% Le Puy-en-Velay: 4.73%

Last Results with these Odds

Caen - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
French Ligue 3
17.10.26	Aubagne - Le Puy	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Le Puy - Thionville Lusitanos	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Valenciennes - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Le Puy - Villefranche	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Quevilly - Le Puy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
15.10.26	Caen - La Roche VF	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Fleury 91 - Caen	3:2 ✺
24.09.26	Caen - Rouen FC	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Concarneau - Caen	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.03.26	Le Puy - Caen	1:0
03.10.25	Caen - Le Puy	2:0

Le Puy - Caen