Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Round 2

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Adrar (Agadir)

Referee: Melki M. (Tun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	AfroSport TV Africa, Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ CAN, DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Gabon	Groupe Gabon Televisions, RTG 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Italy	Sportitalia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Mozambique	TVM 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	VG+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SABC Plus, SuperSport PSL
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	4Seven, Channel 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network


	Gabon		Mozambique

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.8	Watch
	1.74	3.57	5.22	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.8
	1.85	3.55	5.04	Watch
	1.72	3.4	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)	3.44 ↓ (3.61)	4.99 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabon
53.7%

Draw
27.4%

Mozambique
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Mozambique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mozambique might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	9.8%	5.9%

Gabon - Mozambique Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Gabon (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Mozambique (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Gabon (1.30) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Gabon (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Gabon (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gabon will win (42 of 50 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.84% – 94.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gabon will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Gabon (votes: 22 - 84.6%). Mozambique (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mbaba L. (G) Stella Adjame 3. Oyono A. Frosinone 5. Ecuele Manga B. (C) Paris 13 Atletico 18. Lemina M. Galatasaray 19. Ekomie J. Angers 17. Poko A. Amedspor 22. Ndong D. Esteghlal TEH 12. Kanga G. Erokspor 10. Babicka S. Crvena zvezda 9. Aubameyang P. Marseille 20. Bouanga D. Los Angeles FC	1. Siluane E. (G) Associacao Black Bulls 23. Diogo Calila Santa Clara 17. Mexer Keciorengucu 15. Mandava R. Sunderland 5. Langa B. Pafos 21. Guima Zira FK 16. Amade A. Dunfermline 10. Catamo G. Sporting CP 7. Domingues (C) UD Songo 19. Witi Nacional 9. Bangal F. Mestre
Substitutes
2. Appindangoye A. Sivasspor 27. Averlant T. Amiens SC 16. Bekale F. (G) Port-Gentil FC 24. Do Marcolino J. 7. Evouna M. Pelican Lambarene 8. Loufilou C. Al Minaa 26. Matouti E. Khenchela 25. M'Bemba Y. Dordrecht 4. Moucketou-Moussounda A. Aris Limassol 1. Ngoubi Demba A. (G) Mosta FC 15. Nze S. Stade d'Abidjan 6. Obiang J. Orleans 13. Onfia M. Hafia 28. Openda R. Bordeaux 21. Oyono J. Frosinone	20. Abdala K. Chaves 11. Bonde J. Ferroviario Beira 4. Chamboco Associacao Black Bulls 25. Chamito Academico Viseu 14. Cherene O. UD Songo 8. Dove E. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 18. Gildo Tadamon 6. Kambala M. Polokwane City 24. Melque A. UD Songo 2. Nanani UD Songo 3. Nene Associacao Black Bulls 13. Ratifo S. Chemie Leipzig 22. Urrubal I. (G) 12. Zavala K. (G) Maritimo
Coaches
Mouyouma T.	Francisco Q. C. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
34', Amade A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Bangal F. ⚽, Catamo G. (A),
39', Ecuele Manga B. 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Catamo G. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Poko A. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 2, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ecuele Manga B. ↓, Onfia M. ↑,
46', Oyono A. ↓, Moucketou-Moussounda A. ↑,
46', Babicka S. ↓, Openda R. ↑,
52', 1 - 3, Diogo Calila ⚽, Witi (A),
64', Witi ↓, Gildo ↑,
64', Domingues ↓, Kambala M. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Moucketou-Moussounda A. ⚽,
79', Bangal F. ↓, Chamboco ↑,
79', Bouanga D. ↓, Matouti E. ↑,
84', Diogo Calila ↓, Nanani ↑,
87', Siluane E. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Gabon is the team to beat.

There are questionable in Gabon: Poko A. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gabon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabon
Africa Cup of Nations
24.12.25	Cameroon - Gabon	1:0 ✺
Friendly
17.12.25	Uganda - Gabon	Canceled ✺
FIFA World Cup
13.11.25	Nigeria - Gabon	4:1 ET ✺
14.10.25	Gabon - Burundi	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Gambia - Gabon	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 L?LWW
- Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
24.12.25	Ivory Coast - Mozambique	1:0 ✺
Friendly
17.12.25	Angola - Mozambique	4:1 ✺
17.11.25	Chad - Mozambique	2:2 ✺
14.11.25	Morocco - Mozambique	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Somalia - Mozambique	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
14.11.15	Gabon - Mozambique	2:0 penalties
11.11.15	Mozambique - Gabon	1:0

Gabon - Mozambique: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide