Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: David Petriashvili Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Kvirikashvili I. (Geo)


	Gagra		Lokomotivi Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.4	6.25
	1.37	4.5	6.4
	1.37	4.73	7.64
	1.42	4.5	6.75	Watch
	1.37	4.6	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.43)	4.55 ↑ (4.33)	6.73 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gagra
66.3%

Draw
20.1%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

19.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gagra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Gagra - Lokomotivi Tbilisi Predictions

Users Predictions: Gagra will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

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Preview

Gagra has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lokomotivi is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Gagra is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gagra won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Gagra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
08.10.22	Iberia 1999 - Gagra	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Gagra - Dila Gori	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Dinamo Batumi - Gagra	2:0 ✺
06.09.22	Gagra - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLL
- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
09.10.22	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	1:4 ✺
01.10.22	Telavi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Sioni Bolnisi	2:2 ✺
Georgian Cup
14.09.22	Shukura Kobuleti - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	2:0 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.09.22	Iberia 1999 - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
14.08.22	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gagra	0:2
09.05.22	Gagra - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	5:3
09.03.22	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Gagra	0:2

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