Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 17

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: David Petriashvili Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)


	Gagra		Dinamo Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.20	1.80
	4.05	3.20	1.82
	4.32	3.35	1.85
	4.01	3.21	1.9	Watch
	4.00	3.00	1.83
	4.29	3.45	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.78)	3.24 ↓ (3.3)	1.84 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gagra
22.2%

Draw
28.2%

Dinamo Tbilisi
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

27.7%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

27.4%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dinamo Tbilisi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Tbilisi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vorobey O. (G) 40. Claudinei 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 4. Arsic V. 8. Skrypnyk I. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 11. Zoidze S. 21. Peikrishvili A. 25. Wanderson 23. Andreychuk A.	1. Loria G. (C) 6. Leo Santos 27. Kurdic N. 3. Kalandadze A. 5. Kharebashvili S. 22. Ninua N. 24. Osei B. 13. Ramos R. 32. Tsikolia L. 10. Kharaishvili G. 11. Vatsadze M.
Substitutes
29. Adeyeye R. 7. Borges P. 3. Chochia O. 20. Darsania G. 35. Dmitrievich A. (G) 13. Gobejishvili L. 19. Katsiashvili I. 17. Pipia G. 22. Sadghobelashvili G.	7. Doltmurziev K. 17. Donkor N. K. 18. Kvaratskhelia T. 21. Kvartskhava D. 37. Makatsaria M. (G) 20. Monteiro R. 25. Onomah J. 19. Siradze I. 26. Yoro A.
Coaches
Ljubenovic Z.	Ketsbaia T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Andreychuk A. ⚽, Zoidze S. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Peikrishvili A. ⚽, Tsintsadze M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tsikolia L. ↓, Yoro A. ↑,
46', Ramos R. ↓, Siradze I. ↑,
62', Peikrishvili A. ↓, Borges P. ↑,
68', Tchavtchanidze Z. ↓, Chochia O. ↑,
69', Osei B. ↓, Donkor N. K. ↑,
76', Vatsadze M. ↓, Doltmurziev K. ↑,
76', Andreychuk A. ↓, Darsania G. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Leo Santos ⚽, Donkor N. K. (A),
85', Ninua N. ↓, Onomah J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 3.

Gagra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dinamo Tbilisi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dinamo Tbilisi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gagra won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Gagra won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	45:30	15	48
8	Gagra	27	6	11	10	25:37	-12	29

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Tbilisi - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gagra FC
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
28.05.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Gagra	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Gagra - Dila Gori	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Iberia 1999 - Gagra	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Gagra - Rustavi	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Spaeri - Gagra	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWLTL
- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
30.05.26	Meshakhte Tkibuli - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:6 ✺
24.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Dila Gori - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Rustavi - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
21.04.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1
21.11.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	2:4
13.09.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1
16.05.25	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1
05.04.25	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:4
08.12.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	0:1
01.10.24	Gagra - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0

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