Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Hebburn Town

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.35	3.4
	1.98	3.68	3.23
	1.78	3.80	3.95	Watch
	1.86	3.42	3.69
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	3.49 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
48.1%

Draw
25.7%

Hebburn Town
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

24.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebburn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hebburn (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebburn (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Donaghy J. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Wood E. ⚽,
21', 1 - 2, Mulhern E. F. ⚽,
45', 1 - 3, Murray L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 4, Martin G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Gainsborough has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hebburn is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gainsborough could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gainsborough won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
22.11.25	Prescot Cables - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Rushall Olympic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ET ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Redditch United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTLW
- Hebburn Town
English NPL Premier Division
22.11.25	Hebburn Town - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Hebburn Town - Ilkeston	5:0 ✺
08.11.25	Prescot Cables - Hebburn Town	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Hebburn Town - Warrington Town	8:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
24.10.25	Dunston UTS - Hebburn Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
19.04.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town	3:1
20.08.24	Hebburn Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1

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