Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Hebburn Town		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.92
	2.37	3.80	2.56	Watch
	2.2	3.22	2.97
	2.14	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.37)	3.48 ↓ (3.8)	2.84 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hebburn Town
41.4%

Draw
26.3%

Warrington Town
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

24.5%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebburn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hebburn Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+4%)

Hebburn Town - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Elsdon M. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Darcy C. ⚽,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
50', 3 - 0, Martin O. ⚽,
53', 4 - 0, Martin O. ⚽,
66', 5 - 0, Foalle J. ⚽,
77', 6 - 0, Johnson S. ⚽,
84', 7 - 0, Martin O. ⚽,
89', 8 - 0, Martin G. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 16)

Hebburn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Warrington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Warrington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hebburn has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Warrington Town - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebburn Town
English FA Trophy
24.10.25	Dunston UTS - Hebburn Town	1:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Hebburn Town - Leek Town	3:3 ✺
14.10.25	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	United of Manchester - Hebburn Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLW
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
28.10.25	Warrington Town - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Warrington Town - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Hyde United - Warrington Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches