Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Galapagar		Atlético Madrid C

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.3
	2.72	3.1	2.45
	17.56	9.16	1.09	Watch
	2.74	3.04	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↑ (2.97)	4.58 ↑ (2.98)	2.06 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
18%

Draw
25.4%

Atlético Madrid C
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.5%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

31%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galapagar's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid C has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid C's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galapagar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid C than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid C, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Galapagar - Atlético Madrid C Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, ⚽,
26', 0 - 3, ⚽,
26', 1 - 3, Figueroa A. G. d. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 1 - 5, ⚽,
51', 1 - 6, ⚽,
67', 1 - 7, ⚽,
71', 1 - 8, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.11.25	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Galapagar - Siello	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Carabanchel - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Galapagar - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLTL
- Atlético Madrid C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.11.25	Siello - Atlético Madrid C	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid C - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Leganés B - Atlético Madrid C	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Atlético Madrid C - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Torrejón - Atlético Madrid C	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTTWL

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