Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Galapagar		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.98	2.35
	3.03	3	2.29
	2.76	3.11	2.52	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.06	3.02	2.26
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
30.8%

Draw
30.1%

Unión Adarve
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

27.7%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Unión Adarve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Galapagar - Unión Adarve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Menendez G. ⚽,
28', Rivero A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 10).

Galapagar is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Unión Adarve has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.12.25	Alcorcón B - Galapagar	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Galapagar - Atlético Madrid C	1:8 ✺
09.11.25	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLLT
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
14.12.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Unión Adarve - Atlético Madrid C	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Siello - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Adarve - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Leganés B - Unión Adarve	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWLTL

Galapagar - Unión Adarve: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide