Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Galapagar		Villaverde San Andrés

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.05	2.22
	3.07	3.15	2.2
	3.01	3.13	2.33	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.12	3.08	2.19
	3.1	3.1	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.62)	3.07 ↓ (3.08)	2.23 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
29.7%

Draw
29.6%

Villaverde San Andrés
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

28.7%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Villaverde San Andrés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Galapagar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Galapagar - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.42%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Galapagar - Atlético Madrid C	1:8 ✺
09.11.25	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Galapagar - Siello	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Carabanchel - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- Villaverde San Andrés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.11.25	Atlético Madrid C - Villaverde San Andrés	5:1 ✺
16.11.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Siello	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Villaverde San Andrés	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Leganés B	0:3 ✺
26.10.25	Trival Valderas - Villaverde San Andrés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
30.03.25	Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés	0:0
17.11.24	Villaverde San Andrés - Galapagar	2:2
13.02.22	Villaverde San Andrés - Galapagar	1:2
10.10.21	Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés	1:3

Galapagar - Villaverde San Andrés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide