Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Gallipoli		Gravina

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.61	3.15	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 (2.61)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	2.43 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gallipoli
34.4%

Draw
28.7%

Gravina
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

29.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gallipoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Gravina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gallipoli than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Lauria G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, da Silva Castro M. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Gravina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gallipoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gallipoli Football
Italian Serie D - Group H
28.03.24	Gallipoli - Palmese 1914	2:3 ✺
24.03.24	Fidelis Andria - Gallipoli	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Gallipoli - Gelbison Cilento	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Rotonda - Gallipoli	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Gallipoli - Bitonto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LTWTT
- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
07.04.24	Gravina - Matera	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Gravina - Barletta	2:2 ✺
17.03.24	Città di Fasano - Gravina	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Gravina - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Martina Calcio - Gravina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
03.12.23	Gravina - Gallipoli	1:0

Gallipoli - Gravina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide