Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Gravina		Barletta

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.5	1.6
	4.6	3.91	1.58
	4.62	3.78	1.64	Watch
	5	3.5	1.53
	6.03	3.46	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↑ (3.58)	3.63 ↑ (3.25)	1.6 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravina
17.9%

Draw
25.1%

Barletta
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.9%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26.6%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gravina's form might have worsened.

Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barletta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gravina than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gravina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barletta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Gravina - Barletta Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Barletta will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Malagnino D. ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, Lattanzio R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Gravina is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barletta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Barletta is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gravina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gravina won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Gravina	6	3	2	1	12:7	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Gravina
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.03.26	Sarnese - Gravina	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Gravina - Pompei	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Virtus Francavilla - Gravina	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gravina - Francavilla	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Acerrana - Gravina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWW
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.03.26	Barletta - Martina Calcio	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Paganese - Barletta	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Barletta - Afragolese	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ferrandina - Barletta	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Pompei - Barletta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
24.03.24	Gravina - Barletta	2:2
12.11.23	Barletta - Gravina	3:2
19.02.23	Barletta - Gravina	2:0
16.10.22	Gravina - Barletta	0:0

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