Match Info

Paranaense - Relegation - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Galo Maringá		Maringá

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.7	1.5
	5.56	3.8	1.52
	5.65	4.13	1.54	Watch
	5.75	3.4	1.5
	6.1	3.75	1.49	Watch
	5.75	4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.76 ↑ (5.69)	3.8 ↑ (3.75)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Galo Maringá
15.8%

Draw
24%

Maringá
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

24.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

23.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galo Maringá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galo Maringá than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Galo Maringá - Maringá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Maringá (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caio Bolonhin (G) 9. Eriky 6. Gomes D. 7. Guilherme Papaleo 11. Iruan 5. Kaio Godoi 8. Lissandro 2. Lucas Mazetti 3. Marcio Junior 4. Rayan 10. Vinicius Michelon	1. Tony Batista (G) 99. Caique 32. Caua Tavares 7. Edison Negueba 2. Gabriel Souza 10. Guilherme Pira 4. Jhow Alecxander 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Paulinho 21. Ronald Camarao 6. Thiago Rosa
Substitutes
12. Cima V. (G) 13. Danilo Silva 16. Eli Junior 17. Jota . Junior Prego 20. Leandro Cordova 19. Martins Y. 14. Sutilli T. 15. Thiago Goes	20. Bruno Cheron 26. Caio 11. Danielzinho 14. Felipe 17. Iago Santana 5. Kelvi Gomes 37. Masukake Y. 15. Neira I. 25. Neto (G) 29. Rai Natalino 33. Rhuan 12. Romario (G)
Coaches
Emerson Cris	Casarin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Caique ⚽,
14', Thiago Rosa 🟨,
22', 0 - 2, Caique ⚽,
26', 0 - 3, Edison Negueba ⚽,
30', 0 - 4, Caique ⚽,
36', Diego Clemente ↓, Junior Prego ↑,
36', Kaio Godoi ↓, Leandro Cordova ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guilherme Pira ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
46', Thiago Rosa ↓, Rhuan ↑,
60', Gabriel Souza ↓, Kelvi Gomes ↑,
70', Iruan ↓, Eli Junior ↑,
70', 🟨,
71', Edison Negueba ↓, Iago Santana ↑,
71', Caique ↓, Rai Natalino ↑,
76', 🟨,
83', 0 - 5, Paulinho ⚽,
87', Paulinho ↓, Danielzinho ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Recent form of Galo Maringá has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maringá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Maringá is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Galo Maringá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Galo Maringá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galo Maringá
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Galo Maringá	4:1 ✺
20.01.26	Galo Maringá - Maringá	1:4 ✺
17.01.26	Londrina - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Galo Maringá - Foz do Iguaçu	3:0 ✺
06.01.26	São-Joseense - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Maringá - Andraus	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Galo Maringá - Maringá	1:4 ✺
17.01.26	Maringá - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Maringá - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
20.01.26	Galo Maringá - Maringá	1:4
17.01.24	Maringá - Galo Maringá	3:0

Upcoming Matches