Match Info

BRAZIL: PARANAENSE - ROUND 11

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Galo Maringá		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.75	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.73	3.44	2.3
	2.62	3.2	2.3
	2.65	3.24	2.38	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.4)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.26 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galo Maringá
32%

Draw
28.1%

Operário Ferroviario
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.9%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

28.8%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galo Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galo Maringá's performance.

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galo Maringá than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galo Maringá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Galo Maringá - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Patrick Ritter (G) 8. Alex Nemetz 11. Cauari 3. Davison 2. Elacio Cordoba 14. Felix Jorge (C) 10. Guilherme Dantas 7. Italo 4. Kauan 9. Neto Acara 5. Samir	1. Rafael Santos (C) 3. Allan Godoi 10. Cassio Gabriel 17. Erik Bessa 21. Fagner Alemao 11. Felipe Augusto 13. Lucas Hipolito 25. Marcelo Cirino 28. Pacheco 19. Pedrinho 8. Vinicius Diniz
Substitutes
6. Abraao 18. Alves L. 16. Bruninho 21. Colman J. (G) 19. Gabriel Bonet 17. Igor 13. Lucao 15. Luigi 20. Vitor Saci	14. Borech 35. Carvalho R. 39. Dudu Mosconi 9. Felipe Garcia 38. Filipe Claudino 18. Gui Azevedo 15. Joao Denoni 7. Luidy 77. Maxwell 88. Neto Paraiba 23. Savio 12. Talles (G)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Paranaense 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Operário Ferroviario is Qualified for Paranaense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Galo Maringá is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Operário Ferroviario is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Galo Maringá could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Operário Ferroviario will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galo Maringá
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
17.02.24	São-Joseense - Galo Maringá	2:0 ✺
14.02.24	Paraná STC Procopense - Galo Maringá	3:3 ✺
10.02.24	Galo Maringá - Coritiba	1:3 ✺
07.02.24	Andraus - Galo Maringá	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Galo Maringá - Cianorte	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
18.02.24	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
15.02.24	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Operário Ferroviario - Andraus	4:0 ✺
08.02.24	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Operário Ferroviario - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTWWW

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