Match Info

Paranaense - Round 3

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena da Baixada (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Athletico Paranaense		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	3.9
	2.1	3.05	3.55
	2.14	3.18	3.48
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	1.94	3.34	3.95	Watch
	2.22	2.83	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	3.65 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
44.7%

Draw
30%

Operário Ferroviario
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletico Paranaense will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 3.

Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Operário PR is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
11.01.26	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
08.01.26	Andraus - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Athletico Paranaense - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWW
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
10.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Londrina - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Operário Ferroviario - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	CRB Maceio - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.09.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
01.06.25	Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
22.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1
27.03.24	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
16.03.24	Operário Ferroviario - Athletico Paranaense	1:2
15.02.24	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
11.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1

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