Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Galvez		Araguaína

	1	X	2
	6.7	3.95	1.42
	4.54	4.02	1.5
	5.02	4.27	1.53	Watch
	7	4.33	1.33
	4.61	4.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (2.56)	4.18 ↑ (3.28)	1.46 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galvez
16.3%

Draw
21.7%

Araguaína
62%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galvez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galvez's form might have worsened.

Araguaína has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Araguaína's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galvez than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galvez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (-26.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Araguaína, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Galvez - Araguaína Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Galvez will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Araguaína will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

Recent performances by Galvez have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Araguaína is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Galvez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galvez EC
Brazilian Copa Norte
26.03.26	Galvez - Amazonas	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
21.03.26	Galvez - Humaitá	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Galvez - Rio Branco FC	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Rio Branco FC - Galvez	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Independência - Galvez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLTW
- Araguaína Futebol e Regatas
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.03.26	Primavera AC - Araguaína	0:2 ✺
25.03.26	Araguaína - Operário MS	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
07.03.26	Araguaína - União Carmolandense	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Bela Vista - Araguaína	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Araguaína - EC Primavera	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTL

Galvez - Araguaína